Edas Butvilas vs Maxim Mrva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In analyzing the upcoming tennis match between Butvilas and Mrva, it's essential to examine key performance indicators to predict the likely victor. Over the past six months, Butvilas has demonstrated superior second serve performance, winning 47.59% of these points compared to Mrva's 42.51%. This statistic is shown to have a significant correlation with match outcomes.

Examining the return game, Mrva surpasses Butvilas on defending against opponents' second serve, securing 52.17% of these points compared to Butvilas's 44.53%. For first serve returns, Mrva also leads with a success rate of 32.94%, while Butvilas stands at 27.6%. These attributes could tilt the match's balance in Mrva's favor if they capitalize on Butvilas's serve.

When it comes to handling pressure, Butvilas excels slightly in saving breakpoints, doing so 55.98% of the time, while Mrva has a rate of 43.86%. Similarly, in terms of breakpoint conversion, Mrva showcases stronger performance with a 45.31% success rate, as opposed to Butvilas's 34.62%, indicating a slight advantage for Mrva in capitalizing on pressure situations.

Over the past year, Butvilas has played against higher-ranked opponents, with an average ranking of 310.17, contrasting with Mrva's average opponent rank of 466.61. Despite this disparity in opposition quality, Mrva has a better win percentage of 67.74% (W/L 21/10) compared to Butvilas's 65.79% (W/L 50/26), suggesting Mrva's potential to win against less challenging opposition.

Regarding surface preferences, Butvilas and Mrva both favor hard courts. Butvilas holds a career win percentage of 65% (W/L 49/26) on this surface, slightly ahead of Mrva's 63% (W/L 10/6). However, Mrva's versatility is demonstrated by their 67% win rate in deciding sets over the last 12 months, superior to Butvilas's 57%.

Assessing match venue and format, Butvilas predominantly competes in Challengers/ITF events with >$10K prize pools, boasting a 61.54% win rate (W/L 32/20). Meanwhile, Mrva competes mainly in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, acquiring a 68% success rate (W/L 17/8). This contextualizes Mrva's slightly higher win percentage in events with lesser stakes yet substantial efficacy.

Given these analytics, while Mrva's performance metrics in breakpoint situations and return games present them as a formidable contender, Butvilas's experience against tougher opponents and generally stronger second serve suggests a more resilient game. Thus, while a closely contested match is anticipated, Butvilas might turn out to be the favorite based on overall higher-quality competition faced and second serve fortitude.